World Championship2018

AI spent 100 thousand simulations of the World Cup. Russian team won in 0.1% of attempts

So there are chances.

Photo by RIA Novosti

A group of researchers from the Technical University of Dortmund, the Technical University of Munich and the University of Ghent set up an algorithm that, with the help of machine learning, predicted the most likely winner of the World Cup in Russia.

When choosing a champion, artificial intelligence was based on a variety of factors, including: the position in the FIFA rating, the country’s population and its GDP, the chances of bookmakers, the number of players from the national team of one club, the average age of players and the number of Champions League winners in the team.

Considering these factors, the AI ​​spent 100,000 simulations of the tournament – almost 18% of the time the Spanish national team became the owner of the cup. It is not known whether the study was adjusted after the team parted with the head coach the day before the World Cup.

According to the forecasts of the algorithm, Russia has a 50% probability of seceding from the group, but then the chances of getting into the next stages are sharply reduced. Out of 100,000 simulations, the team became the world champion in only 0.1% of attempts.

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