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Will Intel die , 10nm and the future of the company

In 2014, Intel released 5-generation Broadwell processors for 14nm process technology. In October 2017, the 8-generation Coffee Lake came out with a 14nm +++ architecture. What does this mean and what to expect next?

The personal computer market grew until 2010. Then, smartphones began to displace the PC, which affected the reduction of total supplies:

A steady decline will continue in the future
A steady decline will continue in the future

The market declined by almost a third, from $ 90 billion to $ 60 billion. To survive, the company had to take a number of measures that included staff cuts, stopping the development department’s financing, freezing the construction of the new Fab42 plant and using a cheaper and quickly useless thermal interface:

Unfinished factory Fab42
Unfinished factory Fab42
The dried thermal paste in the processor Intel
The dried thermal paste in the processor Intel
The dried thermal paste in the processor Intel
The increase in productivity per nucleus in generations is calculated as a percentage
The increase in productivity per nucleus in generations is calculated as a percentage
Initially, it was planned to implement 10nm as early as 2015

For AMD, these events turned into a coma for 5 years, until 2017, by the beginning of the production of the ZEN architecture:

AMD Forecast
AMD Forecast
At the end of 2017, there were rumors in the press that Intel had already begun shipping the first processors of the Cannon Lake 10nm architecture, but the received lots were in very small quantities, which postponed mass production. April 26, 2018 Intel Director Brian Krzhanich announced that the implementation of 10nm-technical process was postponed until 2019 without specifying the exact date.
Quarterly report for investors
Quarterly report for investors
If in the beginning of 2010 Intel had technological superiority over all competitors, now it has become a total lag:
Comparison with Samsung, GlobalFoundries and TSMC
Comparison with Samsung, GlobalFoundries and TSMC
The company has been pursued for several years by a series of failures, in 2016 had to withdraw from the smartphone market and roll out the production of mobile processors Intel Atom, writing off at a loss of several billion dollars.
Asus Zenfone 5 with Intel Atom on board
Asus Zenfone 5 with Intel Atom on board
What is Intel going to do?

In February 2017, the construction of the Intel Fab42 plant was resumed, more than $ 7 billion was invested, the expected delivery dates are 3-4 years and the plant is reoriented for products using 7nm technology. Given this, we can conclude that in 2019 we will not see from Intel a new process technology, and in the middle of 2020-2021 there will be a jump right up to 7nm.

Also, the company began to work actively in the sphere of graphics, which will allow to enter the video card market in the future and thus compete with AMD / NVidia:

The first video adapters are planned to be released as early as 2019
The first video adapters are planned to be released as early as 2019
For the current year, Intel plans to begin production of the first 8-core processors for the mass segment using the outdated 14-nm technology to compete with the RYZEN 2700X.
Comes out of a coma, AMD has a more subtle technical process
Comes out of a coma, AMD has a more subtle technical process
It is also possible to release their own APUs, which, unlike simple processors, have rather productive graphics. The main competitors will be AMD 2200G and 2400G with VEGA video core.
AMD Accelerated Processing Unit
AMD Accelerated Processing Unit
So Intel can still shake the old days and bury it early, it remains only to wait for the relevant decisions, without leaving the camp of mobile engineers.
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